Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,074·Volume $9,401·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$437 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered88¢100¢at 08:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$1,074
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $437 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $437 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.