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Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?

ActiveLiquidity $8,535·Volume $201.7K
Price now:Yes49%No52%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 08:25computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
49% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
49%price49%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,079 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$170
Smart money entered47¢49¢at 08:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoLiquidity$8,535
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,079 riding on it.

The price of 49% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 49¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $3,079 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$170 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 08:25
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$1
1d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$1
1d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$83
1d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$83
1d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$2
1d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$2
3d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$26
3d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$10
3d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$20
3d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$10
3d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$10
3d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$11
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$5
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$735
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$10
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$10
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$11
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$10
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$11
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$109
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$49
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$49
4d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$49
5d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$49
6d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$0
6d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$12
6d agoCarMidSellYes49¢$9
1w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$433
2w agoCarMidBuyYes48¢$10
2w agoCarMidBuyYes47¢$43
2w agoCarMidBuyYes47¢$10
2w agoCarMidBuyYes47¢$10
2w agoCarMidBuyYes47¢$10
2w agoCarMidBuyYes47¢$10
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$24
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$14
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$0
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$8
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$19
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$27
2w agoCarMidBuyYes45¢$582
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$90
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$19
2w agoCarMidSellYes47¢$11
3w agoCarMidBuyYes42¢$2
3w agoCarMidBuyYes42¢$187
3w agoCarMidBuyYes42¢$8
3w agoCarMidBuyYes42¢$8
3w agoCarMidBuyYes42¢$29
3w agoCarMidBuyYes42¢$18