Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
ActiveLiquidity $902·Volume $9,521·Ends Nov 5, 2026
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$860 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered70¢95¢at 07:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesended(Nov 5, 2026)Liquidity$902
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $860 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 70¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $860 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $82 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $112 |
| 3w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $245 |
| 5w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 63¢ | $282 |
| 6w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $40 |
| 6w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $88 |
| 6w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $22 |
| 7w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $72 |
| 8w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $14 |
| 9w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 77¢ | $105 |
| 10w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 80¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $20 |
| 10w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $30 |
| 10w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $51 |
| 10w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 64¢ | $26 |
| 10w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $56 |
| 10w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 64¢ | $285 |