Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $3,687·Volume $36.0K·Ends Mar 15, 2027
Price now:Yes59%No42%
Smart money leans
No
42% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
42%price42%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$404 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered45¢42¢at 07:33(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 124d(Mar 15, 2027)Liquidity$3,687
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $404 riding on it.
The price of 42% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 45¢; the price was 42¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $404 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33