Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
ActiveLiquidity $11.4K·Volume $8,304·Ends Sep 21, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$434 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢97¢at 07:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesended(Sep 21, 2026)Liquidity$11.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $434 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $434 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $435 |