Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson?
ActiveLiquidity $243·Volume $7,904·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$111 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$637
Smart money entered95¢98¢at 16:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$243
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $111 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $111 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$637 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $615 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 23¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 23¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 24¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 50¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 51¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $141 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 44¢ | $33 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Sell | No | 44¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $59 |
| 3w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $22 |