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Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?

ActiveLiquidity $43.9K·Volume $46.5K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes15%No85%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 16:13computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
85% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,662 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,731
72h +$2,766
Smart money entered92¢85¢at 16:13(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$43.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $3,662 riding on it.

The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $3,662 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,731, +$2,766 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 16:13
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo85¢$54
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo85¢$54
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo85¢$120
1h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo85¢$120
2h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo85¢$51
4h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo85¢$28
4h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo85¢$28
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$118
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$44
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$44
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$54
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$54
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$26
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$26
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$21
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$21
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$26
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$54
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$54
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$54
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$41
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$41
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$54
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$20
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$57
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$57
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$22
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$22
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$320
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$320
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$18
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$18
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$16
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$16
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$12
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$12
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$10
15h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$10
19h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$27
19h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$27
1d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$142
1d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo91¢$142
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$2
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$451
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$18
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$18
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$18
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$5
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$18
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyNo90¢$7