Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $10.8K·Volume $6,718·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$486 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢99¢at 02:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$10.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $486 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $486 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 95¢ | $164 |
| 5d ago | OrnicarMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $78 |
| 5d ago | OrnicarMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | OrnicarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $82 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $322 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $463 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $435 |