Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 8.5
ActiveLiquidity $8·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Over50%Under50%
Smart money leans
Over
50% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
67%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$80 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$400
Smart money entered20¢50¢at 03:04(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$8
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "Over", with $80 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 20¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $80 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$400 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:04
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | Over | 10¢ | $1 |
| 13h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | Over | 10¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | Over | 10¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | Over | 10¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Over | 15¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Over | 15¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Under | 85¢ | $85 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Under | 91¢ | $80 |
| 1d ago | itoney17Mid | Buy | Over | 20¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Under | 89¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | itoney17Mid | Buy | Over | 20¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | itoney17Mid | Buy | Over | 20¢ | $64 |
| 1d ago | itoney17Mid | Buy | Over | 20¢ | $64 |
| 1d ago | itoney17Mid | Buy | Over | 20¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | itoney17Mid | Buy | Over | 20¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | itoney17Mid | Buy | Over | 20¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | itoney17Mid | Buy | Over | 20¢ | $11 |