Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 0.5
ActiveLiquidity $760·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Over95%Under5%
Smart money leans
Under
7% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
78%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
7%price7%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$419 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$459
Smart money entered16¢6.5¢at 03:04(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$760
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Under", with $419 riding on it.
The price of 7% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 16¢; the price was 6.5¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $419 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$459 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:04
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | Over | 95¢ | $74 |
| 22h ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $1 |
| 22h ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $1 |
| 23h ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $8 |
| 23h ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $1,376 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Sell | Over | 96¢ | $1,376 |
| 1d ago | qZ83rxV0x7Kqj9TMid | Buy | Over | 85¢ | $86 |
| 1d ago | qZ83rxV0x7Kqj9TMid | Buy | Over | 85¢ | $85 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $22 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $44 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Over | 52¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $63 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Under | 31¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Under | 31¢ | $50 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $114 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Under | 32¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | Under | 28¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | LuccaF7Mid | Buy | Under | 12¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 11¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Over | 87¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Over | 90¢ | $2,010 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 10¢ | $187 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 14¢ | $251 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 10¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 14¢ | $210 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 15¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | Under | 10¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $66 |
| 1d ago | roscoffMid | Buy | Under | 47¢ | $66 |