Spread: FK Austria Wien (-5.5)
ActiveLiquidity $170·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:FK Austria Wien50%Sport Lisboa e Benfica50%
Smart money leans
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
50% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
87%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$500 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$500
Smart money entered90¢50¢at 03:04(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$170
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Sport Lisboa e Benfica", with $500 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $500 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$500 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:04
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | shineforeverTop | Sell | FK Austria Wien | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | shineforeverTop | Sell | FK Austria Wien | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | qZ83rxV0x7Kqj9TMid | Buy | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 90¢ | $900 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | FK Austria Wien | 15¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | FK Austria Wien | 15¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | shineforeverTop | Sell | FK Austria Wien | 15¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | shineforeverTop | Sell | FK Austria Wien | 15¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xbd02…0d0eMid | Buy | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 85¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | FK Austria Wien | 14¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | FK Austria Wien | 14¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | shineforeverTop | Sell | FK Austria Wien | 17¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | shineforeverTop | Sell | FK Austria Wien | 17¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | shineforeverTop | Buy | FK Austria Wien | 15¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | shineforeverTop | Buy | FK Austria Wien | 15¢ | $1 |