Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-11?
ActiveLiquidity $1,057·Volume $17·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes59%No41%
Smart money leans
No
42% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
42%price42%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$33 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$134
72h +$3,127
Smart money entered51¢42¢at 03:03Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$1,057
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "No", with $33 riding on it.
The price of 42% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 42¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $33 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$134, +$3,127 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:03
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $3 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $6 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $4 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $5 |
| 9h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $8 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $3 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $14 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $1 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $0 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $3 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $5 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $4 |
| 10h ago | sentrioMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $3 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $5 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $3 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $7 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $3 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $28 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $3 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $30 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $14 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $5 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $21 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $19 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $8 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $10 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $7 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $106 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $71 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 10h ago | LuccaF7Mid | Sell | No | 43¢ | $17 |