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Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?

ActiveLiquidity $1,149·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes25%No75%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 15:32computed 2h ago
Smart money leans
No
74% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
70%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
74%price74%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$7,361 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$27.6K
72h +$27.6K
Smart money entered29¢74¢at 15:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy19h agoResolvesin 3h 28m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$1,149
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $7,361 riding on it.

The price of 74% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 29¢; the price was 74¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $7,361 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$27.6K, +$27.6K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 15:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$1
3h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$1
3h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$149
3h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$808
3h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$149
3h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$808
4h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$1
4h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$1
4h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$3
4h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$3
6h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$1
6h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$1
6h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$1
6h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$1
7h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$34
7h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$34
7h agolegitgameMidSellNo72¢$4,124
7h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$832
7h agolukibazdonauki754TopSellYes28¢$832
7h agolegitgameMidSellNo72¢$4,124
18h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes26¢$448
18h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes26¢$216
18h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes24¢$62
19h agoOddstormMidBuyYes24¢$1
19h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes26¢$896
19h agolegitgameMidBuyNo65¢$650
19h agolegitgameMidBuyNo67¢$488
19h agolegitgameMidBuyNo67¢$488
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$38
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$1
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$3
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$2
19h agolegitgameMidBuyNo69¢$1,379
19h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes31¢$580
19h agolegitgameMidBuyNo69¢$1,379
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$1
19h agoBlackMamba08TopSellYes31¢$346
19h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes31¢$346
19h agoBlackMamba08TopSellYes31¢$346
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$50
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$2
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$1
19h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes31¢$2
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$1
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$1
19h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes31¢$22
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$1
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$1
19h agowhosayMidSellYes33¢$1
19h agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes31¢$10