Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
ActiveLiquidity $1,149·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes25%No75%
Smart money leans
No
74% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
70%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
74%price74%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$7,361 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$27.6K
72h +$27.6K
Smart money entered29¢74¢at 15:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy19h agoResolvesin 3h 28m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$1,149
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $7,361 riding on it.
The price of 74% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 29¢; the price was 74¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $7,361 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$27.6K, +$27.6K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $149 |
| 3h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $808 |
| 3h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $149 |
| 3h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $808 |
| 4h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $1 |
| 7h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $34 |
| 7h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $34 |
| 7h ago | legitgameMid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $4,124 |
| 7h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $832 |
| 7h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $832 |
| 7h ago | legitgameMid | Sell | No | 72¢ | $4,124 |
| 18h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $448 |
| 18h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $216 |
| 18h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $62 |
| 19h ago | OddstormMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $896 |
| 19h ago | legitgameMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $650 |
| 19h ago | legitgameMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $488 |
| 19h ago | legitgameMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $488 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $38 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $3 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 19h ago | legitgameMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $1,379 |
| 19h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $580 |
| 19h ago | legitgameMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $1,379 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | BlackMamba08Top | Sell | Yes | 31¢ | $346 |
| 19h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $346 |
| 19h ago | BlackMamba08Top | Sell | Yes | 31¢ | $346 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $50 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $2 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $22 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | whosayMid | Sell | Yes | 33¢ | $1 |
| 19h ago | lukibazdonauki754Top | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $10 |