US recession by end of 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $21.2K·Volume $22.9K·Ends Dec 31, 2027
Price now:Yes28%No73%
Smart money leans
No
73% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$584 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$691
72h +$741
Smart money entered69¢73¢at 07:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy19h agoResolvesin 416d(Dec 31, 2027)Liquidity$21.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $584 riding on it.
The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $584 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$691, +$741 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.