US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $8,379·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$613 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢97¢at 07:02(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$11.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $613 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $613 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:02
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $615 |