Will Türkiye win on 2026-11-12?
ActiveLiquidity $11.4K·Volume $417·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,015
72h +$1,015
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$11.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,015, +$1,015 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $54 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $624 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $120 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $6 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $40 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $29 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $79 |
| 12h ago | 0xd8fe…8591Top | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $157 |
| 13h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $10 |
| 13h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | No | 54¢ | $58 |
| 13h ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $52 |