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Türkiye vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $3,769·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Over0%Under100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:09computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Under
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,399
Smart money entered57¢100¢at 06:09(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$3,769
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,399 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:09
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoLingo919MidBuyOver32¢$629
1d agoBogdanreayMidBuyOver49¢$500
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$1,333
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$1,333
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$6
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$6
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$160
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$39
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$39
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$160
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$22
1d agoRNGUziMidBuyOver52¢$22
1d agoNordhavenCapTopBuyOver81¢$62
1d agoNordhavenCapTopBuyOver81¢$62
1d ago0x11eb…50cbMidBuyOver90¢$230
1d agoNordhavenCapTopBuyOver45¢$1
1d agoZetaKappaEpsilonMidBuyUnder55¢$1
1d agoP1kasoTopBuyUnder56¢$224
1d agoP1kasoTopBuyUnder57¢$104
1d agoP1kasoTopBuyUnder57¢$12
1d agoP1kasoTopBuyUnder57¢$112
1d agoP1kasoTopBuyUnder57¢$140
1d agoP1kasoTopBuyUnder57¢$88
1d agoP1kasoTopBuyUnder59¢$118