Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $1,421·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$46.9K
72h +$47.5K
Smart money entered71¢100¢at 05:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$46.9K, +$47.5K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $431 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $184 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $184 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $124 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $124 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $12 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $12 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $12 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $12 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1,866 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $37 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $37 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $76 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $76 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $3 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $27 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $973 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $30 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $54 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $14 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $35 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $7 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $15 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $46 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $126 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $8 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $21 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $435 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $411 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $87 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $19 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $360 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $113 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $222 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $20 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 11h ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $25 |