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Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $3,470·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Over100%Under0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:07computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Over
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,830
72h +$5,830
Smart money entered72¢100¢at 06:07(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$3,470
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,830, +$5,830 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:07
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10h ago0xec1e…0d9cMidBuyUnder1.0¢$1
10h ago0xec1e…0d9cMidBuyUnder1.0¢$1
10h ago0xec1e…0d9cMidBuyUnder1.0¢$1
10h ago0xec1e…0d9cMidBuyUnder1.0¢$1
10h ago0xec1e…0d9cMidBuyUnder1.0¢$2
10h ago0xec1e…0d9cMidBuyUnder1.0¢$2
10h agoUser7429MidBuyOver89¢$137
10h agoUser7429MidBuyOver89¢$137
10h agoUser7429MidBuyOver97¢$1,327
10h agoUser7429MidBuyOver97¢$1,327
10h agoNordhavenCapTopBuyOver95¢$126
10h agoNordhavenCapTopBuyOver95¢$126
11h agoNordhavenCapTopBuyOver58¢$6
11h agoNordhavenCapTopBuyOver58¢$6
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder60¢$144
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder60¢$15,895
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder60¢$144
11h agoZetaKappaEpsilonMidBuyOver40¢$40
11h agoZetaKappaEpsilonMidBuyOver40¢$100
11h agoZetaKappaEpsilonMidBuyOver40¢$200
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder60¢$15,895
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$52
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$52
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$17
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$17
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$19
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$38
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$38
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$19
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$19
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$961
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$19
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$961
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$145
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$145
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$70
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$3
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$1,053
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$1,053
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$7
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$7
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$563
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$563
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$2,953
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$2,953
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$5,938
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$5,938
11h agoZetaKappaEpsilonMidBuyOver41¢$16
11h agoZetaKappaEpsilonMidBuyOver41¢$123
11h agoBloodygoodrep1MidBuyUnder59¢$4,727