Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-11-14?
ActiveLiquidity $6,341·Volume $0·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes39%No62%
Smart money leans
Yes
39% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
39%price39%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$308 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered41¢39¢at 05:14(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 37h 31m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$6,341
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $308 riding on it.
The price of 39% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 39¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $308 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.