Will Luxembourg win on 2026-11-13?
ActiveLiquidity $7,523·Volume $1,634·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes41%No60%
Smart money leans
No
59% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
59%price59%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$448 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered56¢59¢at 05:22(91% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 13h 22m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$7,523
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $448 riding on it.
The price of 59% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 59¢ at this snapshot — roughly 91% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $448 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.