Italy vs. France: O/U 3.5
ActiveLiquidity $3,411·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Over100%Under0%
Smart money leans
Over
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$26.3K
72h +$26.3K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$3,411
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$26.3K, +$26.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $14 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $14 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $275 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $105 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $105 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $2,752 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $2,752 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $11 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $11 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $2 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $63 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $63 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $36 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $36 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $307 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $307 |
| 8h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $2,478 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $2,478 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $285 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $285 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $143 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $143 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $38 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $38 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $300 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $300 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $1,722 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $1,722 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $2,725 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $2,725 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $14 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $14 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $194 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $194 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $3 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $3 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $48 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $48 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $197 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $312 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $715 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $715 |
| 9h ago | 0x3bf5…2307Mid | Buy | Under | 0.1¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $33 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $33 |
| 9h ago | bajacaligoldTop | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $73 |