Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $30·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$539
72h +$539
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 05:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$539, +$539 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | 0x0d44…6b0aMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x0d44…6b0aMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $400 |
| 8h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $145 |
| 9h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $105 |
| 9h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $10 |
| 10h ago | 0xaa3c…5607Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $25 |
| 10h ago | 0xaa3c…5607Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $25 |