Spread: England (-1.5)
ActiveLiquidity $6,753·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:England0%Croatia100%
Smart money leans
Croatia
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,406
72h +$3,406
Smart money entered59¢100¢at 05:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$6,753
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Croatia", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,406, +$3,406 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | big8betzMid | Sell | Croatia | 100¢ | $3,387 |
| 9h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | England | 15¢ | $3 |
| 9h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | England | 59¢ | $7 |
| 9h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | England | 39¢ | $6 |
| 9h ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | England | 49¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | England | 49¢ | $12 |
| 10h ago | big8betzMid | Buy | Croatia | 59¢ | $2,000 |
| 10h ago | big8betzMid | Buy | Croatia | 59¢ | $2,000 |
| 10h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | England | 41¢ | $62 |
| 13h ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Croatia | 45¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | fyrskenMid | Buy | England | 58¢ | $64 |
| 3d ago | fyrskenMid | Buy | England | 58¢ | $468 |