Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-12?
ActiveLiquidity $7,365·Volume $3·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
57%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,082
72h +$1,082
Smart money entered87¢100¢at 05:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$7,365
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is narrowly leaning toward betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 87¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,082, +$1,082 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $435 |
| 11h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $403 |
| 11h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $101 |
| 12h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $31 |
| 12h ago | 0xaa3c…5607Mid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $91 |
| 12h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $0 |
| 12h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $10 |
| 12h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $90 |
| 13h ago | nb1985Top | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $10,000 |
| 13h ago | nb1985Top | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $10,000 |