Will Albania win on 2026-11-12?
ActiveLiquidity $8,149·Volume $708·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$23.0K
72h +$23.0K
Smart money entered90¢100¢at 05:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$8,149
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$23.0K, +$23.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | 0x1d21…dba6Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4,995 |
| 8h ago | 0x1d21…dba6Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $12,554 |
| 8h ago | 0x1d21…dba6Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $433 |
| 8h ago | 0x1d21…dba6Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $433 |
| 9h ago | 0xa521…d609Mid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $60 |
| 9h ago | 0xa521…d609Mid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $60 |
| 11h ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $376 |
| 11h ago | ay118Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $1,669 |
| 16h ago | fyrskenMid | Sell | No | 56¢ | $438 |
| 3d ago | 0x2970…e1c9Mid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $1,029 |
| 4d ago | fyrskenMid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $39 |
| 4d ago | fyrskenMid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $69 |
| 4d ago | fyrskenMid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $44 |
| 4d ago | fyrskenMid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $270 |