Will Charles Radtke win in Round 1?
ActiveLiquidity $4·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$721
72h +$721
Smart money entered86¢100¢at 07:09(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$4
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$721, +$721 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:09
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0x98ae…ee93Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $92 |
| 6h ago | 0x98ae…ee93Top | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $92 |