Fight to Go the Distance?
ActiveLiquidity $155·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,500
72h +$2,500
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:33Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$155
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,500, +$2,500 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | looppauMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $2,422 |
| 6h ago | looppauMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $75 |
| 6h ago | 0x1a17…38b0Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0x98ae…ee93Top | Sell | No | 99¢ | $121 |
| 6h ago | 0x1a17…38b0Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $121 |
| 6h ago | 0x98ae…ee93Top | Sell | No | 99¢ | $121 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $14 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $13 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $95 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $19 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $19 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0x98ae…ee93Top | Buy | No | 46¢ | $56 |