Smart money leans
Over
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$445
72h +$445
Smart money entered95¢99¢at 07:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$4,785
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$445, +$445 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | 0x1a17…38b0Mid | Buy | Over | 99¢ | $390 |
| 8h ago | 0x1a17…38b0Mid | Buy | Over | 99¢ | $22 |
| 8h ago | 0xe399…e9d4Mid | Buy | Under | 60¢ | $20 |
| 8h ago | Bagwell306Mid | Buy | Over | 40¢ | $13 |