Fight to Go the Distance?
ActiveLiquidity $295·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,999
72h +$1,999
Smart money entered34¢100¢at 07:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy8h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$295
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 34¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,999, +$1,999 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $90 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $15 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $94 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $94 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $169 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $169 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $7 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $7 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $117 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $117 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $16 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $16 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $15 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $15 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 57¢ | $38 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $16 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $21 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $25 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $43 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $22 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $31 |
| 8h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $31 |