Smart money leans
Over
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$300
72h +$300
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 07:09(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$23
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$300, +$300 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:09
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x1a17…38b0Mid | Buy | Over | 99¢ | $297 |
| 7h ago | 0x98ae…ee93Top | Buy | Under | 34¢ | $150 |
| 7h ago | 0x98ae…ee93Top | Buy | Under | 34¢ | $150 |