Fight to Go the Distance?
ActiveLiquidity $267·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,203
72h +$1,203
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:33(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$267
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,203, +$1,203 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $893 |
| 4h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | looppauMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $300 |
| 4h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 42¢ | $23 |
| 4h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 42¢ | $106 |
| 4h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $124 |
| 4h ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $124 |