Will Tony Pollard have 1,199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $312·Volume $2,957·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes35%No65%
Smart money leans
No
65% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$494 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$102
Smart money entered60¢65¢at 05:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$312
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $494 riding on it.
The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $494 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$102 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $98 |
| 5d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $25 |
| 5d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $14 |
| 5d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $24 |
| 5d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $65 |
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 54¢ | $112 |
| 2w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 61¢ | $133 |
| 2w ago | crckrMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $18 |
| 3w ago | crckrMid | Sell | Yes | 40¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | crckrMid | Sell | Yes | 40¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | crckrMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $19 |