Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $5,183·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$905
72h +$905
Smart money entered93¢99¢at 08:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$5,183
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$905, +$905 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $271 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $271 |
| 3h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $94 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $94 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 91¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 66¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 66¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Down | 45¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Down | 45¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $1 |