Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $105·Volume $19.0K·Ends Sep 30, 2026
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$353 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered84¢94¢at 03:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesended(Sep 30, 2026)Liquidity$105
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $353 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $353 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $36 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $16 |
| 3w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $16 |
| 3w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $15 |
| 3w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $13 |
| 4w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $56 |
| 5w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $4 |
| 5w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $71 |
| 5w ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $108 |