Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $15.4K·Volume $28.7K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$841 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered68¢91¢at 02:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$15.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $841 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $841 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:56
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $46 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $295 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 77¢ | $61 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 77¢ | $16 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 76¢ | $76 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $544 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $59 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 69¢ | $133 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 69¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $650 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $63 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $69 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $1 |
| 5w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $32 |