Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $493·Volume $4,340·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes21%No79%
Smart money leans
No
79% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$321 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered75¢79¢at 00:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$493
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $321 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $321 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5w ago | whigTop | Sell | No | 72¢ | $181 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Sell | No | 72¢ | $127 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $69 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $70 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $31 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $15 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $72 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $73 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 59¢ | $12 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Sell | No | 58¢ | $12 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $208 |
| 5w ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $38 |