Will Sam Darnold have 3,949.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $724·Volume $1,663·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$423 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢96¢at 07:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 73d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$724
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $423 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $423 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.