No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $5,273·Volume $18.6K·Ends Dec 8, 2026
Price now:Yes96%No5%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:52Smart money exiting · $770 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Yes
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,935 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$770
72h -$1,626
Smart money entered94¢95¢at 11:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 27d(Dec 8, 2026)Liquidity$5,273
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,935 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $1,935 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$770, -$1,626 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $385 |
| 3h ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $385 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $428 |
| 1d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Sell | Yes | 95¢ | $428 |
| 4d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1,829 |
| 5d ago | EdgePuntaMid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $916 |
| 2w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 40¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $24 |