Capitals vs. Senators
ActiveLiquidity $13.3K·Volume $1,121·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Capitals100%Senators0%
Smart money leans
Capitals
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$64.8K
Smart money entered57¢100¢at 05:04(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$13.3K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Capitals", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$64.8K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:04
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $250 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $250 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $682 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $682 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $367 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $367 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $579 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $579 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $524 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $524 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $1,332 |
| 2d ago | 0xb5ce…e2afTop | Buy | Capitals | 100¢ | $1,332 |
| 2d ago | 0xff80…9b4dTop | Buy | Senators | 14¢ | $106 |
| 2d ago | 0xff80…9b4dTop | Sell | Capitals | 61¢ | $298 |
| 2d ago | 0xff80…9b4dTop | Sell | Capitals | 62¢ | $237 |
| 2d ago | 0xff80…9b4dTop | Buy | Capitals | 44¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xff80…9b4dTop | Buy | Capitals | 44¢ | $384 |
| 2d ago | 0x4a0a0b5b5c6c728328e9ee0bd59035f21957ac8fMid | Sell | Capitals | 26¢ | $320 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $12,000 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $12,000 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x41BB029a2A2AA76315FF7A9f426a77675F9626E8-1775286639766Mid | Buy | Capitals | 51¢ | $2,247 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $120 |
| 2d ago | 0x4a0a0b5b5c6c728328e9ee0bd59035f21957ac8fMid | Buy | Capitals | 51¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x4a0a0b5b5c6c728328e9ee0bd59035f21957ac8fMid | Buy | Capitals | 51¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x4a0a0b5b5c6c728328e9ee0bd59035f21957ac8fMid | Buy | Capitals | 51¢ | $672 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | justwinsTop | Buy | Capitals | 50¢ | $16 |