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Islanders vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $7,000·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Over0%Under100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:24computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Under
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,438
72h +$1,450
Smart money entered93¢100¢at 02:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy21h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$7,000
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Under", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,438, +$1,450 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:24
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
21h agoDreamwireMidBuyUnder100¢$634
21h agoDreamwireMidBuyUnder100¢$634
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver33¢$5
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver33¢$5
22h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyUnder45¢$2
22h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyUnder45¢$2
22h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyUnder45¢$14
22h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyUnder45¢$14
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$2
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$1,040
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$2
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$2
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$795
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver52¢$795
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder46¢$2
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder46¢$2
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder46¢$920
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder46¢$920
22h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyUnder37¢$19
22h agoBoomLaLaMidBuyUnder37¢$19
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver66¢$739
22h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver66¢$739
23h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver70¢$1,709
23h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyOver70¢$1,709
23h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder48¢$230
23h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder48¢$230
23h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder48¢$95
23h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyUnder48¢$95
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyOver47¢$0
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyOver47¢$0
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuyOver47¢$5
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuyUnder52¢$6