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Spread: Islanders (-1.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $5,186·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Islanders0%Sharks100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:18computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Sharks
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,328
72h +$86.4K
Smart money entered66¢100¢at 03:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy22h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$5,186
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Sharks", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,328, +$86.4K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:18
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
22h agoMalfunction-MidBuySharks100¢$16
22h agoMalfunction-MidBuySharks100¢$1
22h agoMalfunction-MidBuySharks100¢$3
22h agoMalfunction-MidBuySharks100¢$30
22h agoDreamwireMidBuySharks99¢$5
22h agoDreamwireMidBuySharks99¢$5
22h agoDreamwireMidBuySharks99¢$1,320
22h agoDreamwireMidBuySharks99¢$238
22h agoDreamwireMidBuySharks99¢$1,320
22h agoDreamwireMidBuySharks99¢$238
23h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyIslanders22¢$116
23h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyIslanders22¢$116
23h agoBoomLaLaMidBuySharks83¢$10
23h agoBoomLaLaMidBuySharks83¢$10
23h agoBoomLaLaMidBuySharks75¢$38
23h agoBoomLaLaMidBuySharks75¢$38
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuySharks69¢$49
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuySharks69¢$49
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuySharks65¢$24,511
1d agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuySharks65¢$24,511
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks65¢$10
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks65¢$10
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuySharks65¢$63
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$1,300
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks65¢$10
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuySharks65¢$63
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$1,300
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$1,051
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$29
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$59
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$161
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$161
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$1,051
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$29
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$59
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks66¢$10
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks66¢$10
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks66¢$10
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks66¢$10
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuySharks65¢$7
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$6
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$6
1d ago0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksMidBuySharks65¢$7
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$16
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$43
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$16
1d ago0xheavy888MidBuySharks65¢$43
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks67¢$83
1d agoCAcapMidBuySharks67¢$19