Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
ActiveLiquidity $3,772·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Hurricanes35%Kraken65%
Smart money leans
Hurricanes
40% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
40%price40%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$406 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$812
72h +$812
Smart money entered40¢40¢at 02:30(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 37h 30m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$3,772
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Hurricanes", with $406 riding on it.
The price of 40% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 40¢; the price was 40¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $406 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$812, +$812 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | geraldo777Mid | Buy | Hurricanes | 40¢ | $406 |
| 4h ago | geraldo777Mid | Buy | Hurricanes | 40¢ | $406 |