Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
ActiveLiquidity $5,195·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Hurricanes50%Kraken50%
Smart money leans
Hurricanes
48% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
48%price48%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$680 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,360
72h +$1,360
Smart money entered52¢48¢at 03:33(0% priced in)Edge left+0.3ppLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 36h 26m(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$5,195
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Hurricanes", with $680 riding on it.
The price of 48% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 52¢; the price was 48¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $680 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,360, +$1,360 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | geraldo777Mid | Buy | Hurricanes | 52¢ | $748 |
| 5h ago | geraldo777Mid | Buy | Hurricanes | 52¢ | $748 |