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Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 44.5

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $9,534·Volume $694·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Over100%Under0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:27computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Over
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,127
72h +$3,127
Smart money entered44¢100¢at 05:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$9,534
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 44¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,127, +$3,127 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:27
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyOver85¢$17
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyOver43¢$420
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyOver43¢$420
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder86¢$16
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder86¢$16
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder63¢$6
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder57¢$1
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder57¢$5
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder44¢$2
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder44¢$2
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder41¢$9
2h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyUnder41¢$9
2h ago0xc308…7b09MidBuyUnder58¢$30
3h ago0xc308…7b09MidBuyUnder54¢$972
3h ago0xc308…7b09MidBuyUnder54¢$972
3h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyOver47¢$565
3h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyOver24¢$5
3h agojustaluckydudeMidBuyOver24¢$5