Spread: Giants (-8.5)
ActiveLiquidity $5,758·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Giants0%Commanders100%
Smart money leans
Commanders
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,998
72h +$4,998
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:36(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$5,758
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Commanders", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,998, +$4,998 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xb3ba…f84eMid | Buy | Commanders | 100¢ | $2,498 |
| 2h ago | 0xb3ba…f84eMid | Buy | Commanders | 100¢ | $2,498 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 8.6¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 8.6¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Giants | 17¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Giants | 18¢ | $90 |