Spread: Giants (-3.5)
ActiveLiquidity $86.9K·Volume $1,666·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Giants0%Commanders100%
Smart money leans
Commanders
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,000
72h +$4,000
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:29(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$86.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Commanders", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,000, +$4,000 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xa995…1be0Mid | Buy | Commanders | 100¢ | $3,992 |
| 2h ago | 0xa995…1be0Mid | Buy | Commanders | 100¢ | $3,992 |
| 2h ago | 0xa995…1be0Mid | Buy | Commanders | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 65¢ | $197 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 65¢ | $197 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 62¢ | $59 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 62¢ | $59 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 80¢ | $80 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 66¢ | $59 |
| 2h ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | Giants | 42¢ | $240 |
| 2h ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | Giants | 42¢ | $236 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 21¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | justaluckydudeMid | Buy | Giants | 21¢ | $1 |