Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 46.5
ActiveLiquidity $26.5K·Volume $811·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Over55%Under46%
Smart money leans
Over
55% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price55%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$283
Smart money entered55¢55¢at 05:22(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$26.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$283 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Over | 54¢ | $662 |
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $72 |
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $175 |
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $3 |
| 4d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 53¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 54¢ | $274 |
| 4d ago | 0x6dd9…bfe8Mid | Buy | Under | 52¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Over | 45¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Under | 45¢ | $2 |