Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
ActiveLiquidity $30.2K·Volume $3,391·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Chiefs46%Falcons55%
Smart money leans
Chiefs
46% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
88%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
46%price46%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,627 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$644
72h +$1,847
Smart money entered48¢46¢at 06:50(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy18h agoResolvesin 34h 10m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$30.2K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Chiefs", with $2,627 riding on it.
The price of 46% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 46¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,627 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$644, +$1,847 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | BoomLaLaMid | Sell | Falcons | 55¢ | $138 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $3 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $45 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $50 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $91 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $124 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $247 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $11 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $13 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $16 |
| 18h ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $44 |
| 1d ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $100 |
| 1d ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $309 |
| 1d ago | darkumbreon88Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 47¢ | $830 |
| 5d ago | 0x0944…6771Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 50¢ | $108 |
| 5d ago | BoomLaLaMid | Buy | Falcons | 49¢ | $123 |
| 5d ago | 0x0944…6771Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 51¢ | $129 |
| 5d ago | BoomLaLaMid | Buy | Falcons | 49¢ | $123 |
| 5d ago | 0x0944…6771Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 51¢ | $129 |
| 5d ago | BoomLaLaMid | Buy | Falcons | 49¢ | $123 |
| 5d ago | 0x0944…6771Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 51¢ | $129 |
| 5d ago | BoomLaLaMid | Buy | Falcons | 49¢ | $123 |
| 5d ago | BoomLaLaMid | Buy | Falcons | 49¢ | $123 |
| 5d ago | 0x0944…6771Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 51¢ | $129 |
| 5d ago | BoomLaLaMid | Buy | Falcons | 49¢ | $123 |
| 5d ago | 0x0944…6771Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 51¢ | $129 |
| 5d ago | BoomLaLaMid | Buy | Falcons | 48¢ | $120 |
| 5d ago | 0x0944…6771Mid | Buy | Chiefs | 52¢ | $132 |