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Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)

ActiveLiquidity $30.2K·Volume $3,391·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Chiefs46%Falcons55%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:50computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Chiefs
46% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
88%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
46%price46%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,627 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$644
72h +$1,847
Smart money entered48¢46¢at 06:50(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy18h agoResolvesin 34h 10m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$30.2K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Chiefs", with $2,627 riding on it.

The price of 46% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 46¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $2,627 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$644, +$1,847 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:50
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
10h agoBoomLaLaMidSellFalcons55¢$138
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$2
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$3
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$5
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$45
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$50
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$91
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$124
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$247
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$5
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$11
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$13
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$16
18h agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$44
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$9
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$4
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$100
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$309
1d agodarkumbreon88MidBuyChiefs47¢$830
5d ago0x0944…6771MidBuyChiefs50¢$108
5d agoBoomLaLaMidBuyFalcons49¢$123
5d ago0x0944…6771MidBuyChiefs51¢$129
5d agoBoomLaLaMidBuyFalcons49¢$123
5d ago0x0944…6771MidBuyChiefs51¢$129
5d agoBoomLaLaMidBuyFalcons49¢$123
5d ago0x0944…6771MidBuyChiefs51¢$129
5d agoBoomLaLaMidBuyFalcons49¢$123
5d agoBoomLaLaMidBuyFalcons49¢$123
5d ago0x0944…6771MidBuyChiefs51¢$129
5d agoBoomLaLaMidBuyFalcons49¢$123
5d ago0x0944…6771MidBuyChiefs51¢$129
5d agoBoomLaLaMidBuyFalcons48¢$120
5d ago0x0944…6771MidBuyChiefs52¢$132