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Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)

ActiveLiquidity $1.3M·Volume $478.9K·Ends Nov 8, 2026
Price now:Cowboys77%Colts23%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 17:31computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Cowboys
77% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
87%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
77%price77%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$174.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$151.9K
Smart money entered48¢77¢at 17:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 8, 2026)Liquidity$1.3M
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Cowboys", with $174.9K riding on it.

The price of 77% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 77¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $174.9K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$151.9K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 17:31
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d agoBoggsFromShawshankTopBuyCowboys47¢$19,928
2d agoBoggsFromShawshankTopBuyCowboys47¢$19,928
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys47¢$47
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys47¢$47
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys47¢$124
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys48¢$19,200
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts51¢$1
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts51¢$10
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts51¢$57,230
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$5,880
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$23
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$44
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$44
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$44
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$19
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$993
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$5,880
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$5,880
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$1,327
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$4,553
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$340
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$5,540
2d agotaylorsversionTopBuyCowboys49¢$4,887
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$10
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$350
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$6
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$6
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$270
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$270
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$154
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$10
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$10
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$16
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$50
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$25
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$23
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$8
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$5,000
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$10
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$49
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$98
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$5
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$5
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$589
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$3,385
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$8
2d agojustwinsTopBuyColts50¢$2